Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.033771 0.038155 0.043007 0.048794 0.055533 0.063165 0.072505
2024-10-20 0.026312 0.031990 0.038852 0.047838 0.059415 0.073994 0.094005
2024-10-27 0.021900 0.027955 0.035720 0.046567 0.061580 0.082007 0.112579
2024-11-03 0.019684 0.026145 0.034848 0.047679 0.066562 0.094058 0.138541
2024-11-10 0.018026 0.024758 0.034211 0.048817 0.071500 0.106601 0.167592
2024-11-17 0.016384 0.023141 0.032965 0.048761 0.074465 0.116426 0.194169
2024-11-24 0.014872 0.021514 0.031466 0.048035 0.076128 0.124245 0.218785
2024-12-01 0.013853 0.020504 0.030758 0.048416 0.079591 0.135598 0.252389
2024-12-08 0.012919 0.019517 0.029960 0.048503 0.082486 0.146333 0.287250
2024-12-15 0.012163 0.018734 0.029394 0.048887 0.085923 0.158621 0.328419
2024-12-22 0.011100 0.017353 0.027691 0.047033 0.084838 0.161674 0.349529
2024-12-29 0.010838 0.017277 0.028192 0.049245 0.091988 0.183068 0.420258
2025-01-05 0.009780 0.015807 0.026210 0.046717 0.089517 0.183947 0.441756
2025-01-12 0.009062 0.014880 0.025129 0.045849 0.090503 0.193135 0.489599
2025-01-19 0.008379 0.013953 0.023956 0.044643 0.090554 0.200134 0.533898
2025-01-26 0.008057 0.013646 0.023900 0.045700 0.095852 0.221299 0.629870
2025-02-02 0.007765 0.013365 0.023861 0.046781 0.101396 0.244509 0.743346
2025-02-09 0.007370 0.012860 0.023332 0.046729 0.104182 0.260936 0.841154
2025-02-16 0.006944 0.012260 0.022561 0.046038 0.105250 0.272752 0.927683
2025-02-23 0.006659 0.011912 0.022267 0.046401 0.109122 0.294007 1.064277
2025-03-02 0.006371 0.011533 0.021876 0.046483 0.112267 0.313913 1.207293
2025-03-09 0.006129 0.011230 0.021615 0.046849 0.116272 0.337845 1.385114
2025-03-16 0.005725 0.010570 0.020538 0.045086 0.113900 0.339425 1.452410